Or: Tim’s foray into tempo-free statistics.
Michigan takes on UConn at 6PM tonight on ESPN. The game takes place on the Huskies’ home floor in Storrs.
Tempo-Free and efficiency comparison (if you need an explanation of what any of these things mean, head to KenPom’s website):
| Michigan v. Connecticut: National Ranks | Category | Michigan | UConn | Advantage |
| Mich eFG% v. UConn eFG% D | 149 | 6 | CC |
| Mich eFG% D v. Uconn eFG% | 180 | 44 | CC |
| Mich TO% v. Uconn Def TO% | 18 | 312 | MMM |
| Mich Def TO% v. UConn TO% | 158 | 29 | CC |
| Mich OReb% v. UConn DReb% | 251 | 61 | CC |
| Mich DReb% v. UConn OReb% | 146 | 13 | CC |
| Mich FTR v. UConn Opp FTR | 318 | 1 | CCCC |
| Mich Opp FTR v. UConn FTR | 17 | 4 | C |
| Mich AdjO v. UConn AdjD | 61 | 6 | C |
| Mich AdjD v. UConn AdjO | 97 | 5 | C |
Differences of more than 100 places in the rankings garner two-letter advantages, differences of more than 200 get a third.
I’ll keep this brief, since Michigan is going to get beaten down by the #1 team in the country. 1 fact of note: Michigan’s team profile improved in every single respect following the Penn State game except for offensive rebounding. They still have huge deficits to UConn in most of the Four Factors, though the discrepancies in overall offensive and defensive efficiency really aren’t all that bad.
KenPom predicts a 77-59 Huskies win, and I think it’ll be a little closer, but still something of a blowout.
Posted under Analysis, Basketball
Tags: connecticut, preview
The game was actually quite close and good as Tim predicted, especially in a tough place to play (I would know; I’ve been there). These KenPom stats are all well and good, but somewhat worthless without knowing the team’s personnel. Usually, the best shot-blocking teams also will send their opponents to the line, but not with Uconn obviously. I think a better stat, and way cooler, is that Uconn is leading the nation in blocked shots for the 8th season in a row.
How about some more analysis of the Beilein switching zones (from 1-3-1 to 2-3) and how that lead to Uconn turnovers and a Michigan advantage early?