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UFR: UConn

Shooting data can be found in .xls format here.

Half 1

1st Half
Lineup Time Score Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson 4:00 8-12 -4
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims 2:16 2-0 +2
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims 1:56 4-2 +2
Merritt, Douglass, Novak, Shepherd, Sims 1:09 0-1 -1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims 2:18 3-3 0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson :36 3-0 +3
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson 6:04 11-10 +1
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Puls 1:41 3-5 -2
Totals 20:00 34-33 +1

Half 2

2nd Half
Lineup Time Score Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson 2:01 0-2 -2
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson :09 0-0 0
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims 4:08 9-4 +5
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims 1:24 0-4 -4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims :48 0-4 -4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims 1:06 2-1 +1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims 1:52 2-5 -3
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson :37 0-2 -2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims 2:15 6-2 +4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims 5:08 8-9 -1
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Wright :01 0-0 0
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims :31 0-3 -3
Totals 20:00 25-36 -9

Individual Players

Stu Douglass 32 min -5
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 0/1
Midrange 1/1
3-pt 0/2 3/3 3/3

Easily the player of the game. Was ice cold (in a good way) from 3.

Zack Gibson 20min -1
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 1/1 1/1
Midrange 1
3-pt 0/1 0/1

Didn’t score a lot, but did some very good work on both sides of the ball.

Manny Harris 39min -9
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 0/3 1/1 1/2
Midrange 1/3
3-pt 1/4 0/1

Kind of a rough day matching up against some really athletic defenders. Limited his turnover a bit, though he’s still committing too many.

CJ Lee 9min +1
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane
Midrange
3-pt 0/1 0/1

Doesn’t do a lot of scoring, but his defensive effort and steady work at point(!) were a huge part of Michigan staying in this game. Forced several turnovers.

Laval Lucas-Perry 8min -4
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 0/1
Midrange
3-pt 0/2

Continued to struggle. Really would be well-served by sitting out a game, I think.

Zack Novak 17min -5
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 1 1/1 1/1
Midrange
3-pt 0/3 0/1 0/1

Not Zack’s best work, and he was in foul trouble for most of the game. I guess that’s to be expected when you’re playing the 4 at 6-5 against one of the bigger teams on the schedule.

Jevohn Shepherd 5min -7
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 1
Midrange
3-pt

Seemed to be a non-factor, but he may have ctually been worse than I remembered. The plus/minus doesn’t even include a couple times he was pulled after committing a foul.

DeShawn Sims 25min  -2
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane 0/1 2/3 2/2 0/1
Midrange 1
3-pt 0/3 0/1

Dude killed it, considering he was matched up against Thabeet and various other trees.

Anthony Wright 9min -2
Quality 0 1 2 3 F
Lane
Midrange
3-pt 1/1

Hit a meaningful shot, and didn’t really screw anything up. That’s a pretty good performance for him.

Other: Puls 2min -2

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Preview: UConn

Or: Tim’s foray into tempo-free statistics.

Michigan takes on UConn at 6PM tonight on ESPN. The game takes place on the Huskies’ home floor in Storrs.

Tempo-Free and efficiency comparison (if you need an explanation of what any of these things mean, head to KenPom’s website):

Michigan v. Connecticut: National Ranks
Category Michigan UConn Advantage
Mich eFG% v. UConn eFG% D 149 6 CC
Mich eFG% D v. Uconn eFG% 180 44 CC
Mich TO% v. Uconn Def TO% 18 312 MMM
Mich Def TO% v. UConn TO% 158 29 CC
Mich OReb% v. UConn DReb% 251 61 CC
Mich DReb% v. UConn OReb% 146 13 CC
Mich FTR v. UConn Opp FTR 318 1 CCCC
Mich Opp FTR v. UConn FTR 17 4 C
Mich AdjO v. UConn AdjD 61 6 C
Mich AdjD v. UConn AdjO 97 5 C

Differences of more than 100 places in the rankings garner two-letter advantages, differences of more than 200 get a third.

I’ll keep this brief, since Michigan is going to get beaten down by the #1 team in the country. 1 fact of note: Michigan’s team profile improved in every single respect following the Penn State game except for offensive rebounding. They still have huge deficits to UConn in most of the Four Factors, though the discrepancies in overall offensive and defensive efficiency really aren’t all that bad.

KenPom predicts a 77-59 Huskies win, and I think it’ll be a little closer, but still something of a blowout.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball