Shooting data can be found in .xls format here.

Half 1

1st Half
Lineup	Time	Score	Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	4:00	8-12	-4
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:16	2-0	+2
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	1:56	4-2	+2
Merritt, Douglass, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	1:09	0-1	-1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	2:18	3-3	0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	:36	3-0	+3
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	6:04	11-10	+1
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Puls	1:41	3-5	-2
Totals	20:00	34-33	+1

Half 2

2nd Half
Lineup	Time	Score	Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:01	0-2	-2
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:09	0-0	0
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:08	9-4	+5
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	1:24	0-4	-4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	:48	0-4	-4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:06	2-1	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:52	2-5	-3
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	:37	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	2:15	6-2	+4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	5:08	8-9	-1
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Wright	:01	0-0	0
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:31	0-3	-3
Totals	20:00	25-36	-9

Individual Players

Stu Douglass 32 min -5
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				0/1
Midrange				1/1
3-pt		0/2	3/3	3/3

Easily the player of the game. Was ice cold (in a good way) from 3.

Zack Gibson 20min -1
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			1/1	1/1
Midrange	1
3-pt			0/1	0/1

Didn’t score a lot, but did some very good work on both sides of the ball.

Manny Harris 39min -9
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/3	1/1		1/2
Midrange			1/3
3-pt		1/4	0/1

Kind of a rough day matching up against some really athletic defenders. Limited his turnover a bit, though he’s still committing too many.

CJ Lee 9min +1
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-pt		0/1	0/1

Doesn’t do a lot of scoring, but his defensive effort and steady work at point(!) were a huge part of Michigan staying in this game. Forced several turnovers.

Laval Lucas-Perry 8min -4
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1
Midrange
3-pt				0/2

Continued to struggle. Really would be well-served by sitting out a game, I think.

Zack Novak 17min -5
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1		1/1	1/1
Midrange
3-pt			0/3	0/1	0/1

Not Zack’s best work, and he was in foul trouble for most of the game. I guess that’s to be expected when you’re playing the 4 at 6-5 against one of the bigger teams on the schedule.

Jevohn Shepherd 5min -7
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1
Midrange
3-pt

Seemed to be a non-factor, but he may have ctually been worse than I remembered. The plus/minus doesn’t even include a couple times he was pulled after committing a foul.

DeShawn Sims 25min  -2
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1	2/3	2/2	0/1
Midrange	1
3-pt			0/3	0/1

Dude killed it, considering he was matched up against Thabeet and various other trees.

Anthony Wright 9min -2
Quality	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-pt				1/1

Hit a meaningful shot, and didn’t really screw anything up. That’s a pretty good performance for him.

Other: Puls 2min -2

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Since I didn’t have the opportunity to record the game and score the shots, this edition of UFR will only include the differential.

Penn State Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	7:46	13-12	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:23	1-0	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	2:33	5-6	-1
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	3:17	5-4	+1
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:26	2-4	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	1:35	3-5	-2
Total	20:00	29-31	-2

Half 2

2nd Half Differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:13	1-3	-2
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:03	8-3	+5
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	3:36	7-1	+6
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:46	6-2	+4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:50	5-2	+3
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:12	0-1	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:19	2-0	+2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:27	3-2	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:31	5-2	+3
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:06	2-2	0
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	:57	3-3	0
Totals	20:00	42-20	+22

Penn State Totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	10:59	14-15	-1
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:26	2-4	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	3:17	5-4	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	6:09	12-7	+5
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	1:35	3-5	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:54	6-2	+4
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:55	16-7	+9
Lee, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:50	5-2	+3
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:12	0-1	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:19	2-0	+2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:27	3-2	+1
Lee, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	:57	3-3	0
Total	40:00	71-51	+20

Individual players:

Gibson 13min +3
Novak 27 min +15
Lee 29min +8
Harris 34min +20
Lucas-Perry 18min -5
Douglass 24min +22
Wright 1min 0
Merritt 13 min +9
Shepherd 13min +4
Puls 1min 0
Sims 26min +16
Grady 1min +2

LLP’s struggles continue. In a 20-point blowout, he was the only Michigan player in the negative. Douglass was a true G in this game.

The Michigan Athletic Department didn’t find the UConn game worthy of being immortalized in a boxscore, so I’ll give that game the full UFR treatment sometime in the next few days when I get a chance to re-watch it.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Raw data in .xls format here.

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	7:36	3-7	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	1:34	3-4	-1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	1:19	5-2	+3
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	1:18	6-0	+6
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	2:51	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	3:01	3-8	-5
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Wright, Sims	:20	2-0	+2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	2:54	2-2	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	:01	0-0	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:06	2-0	+2
Total	20:00	26-25	+1

Half 2

2nd Half Differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:32	2-3	-1
SOME EVENT OF NO SIGNIFICANCE
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	2:13	2-2	0
Merritt, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Sims	3:28	3-7	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:20	0-5	-5
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	:39	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	2:03	2-5	-3
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	:05	0-2	-2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Wright, Sims	:56	1-3	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Wright, Sims	1:40	3-3	0
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Sims	1:39	1-2	-1
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:05	0-2	-2
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Puls, Gibson	2:01	5-3	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Puls, Gibson	1:19	3-3	0
Totals	20:00	23-42	-19

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	9:08	5-10	-5
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	3:01	3-8	-5
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Wright, Sims	:20	2-0	+2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	4:16	4-7	-3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	:39	0-2	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Wright, Sims	1:40	3-3	0
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Sims	1:39	1-2	-1
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:05	0-2	-2
Douglass, Lee, Wright, Puls, Gibson	2:01	5-3	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Puls, Gibson	1:19	3-3	0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	1:34	3-4	-1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	1:19	5-2	+3
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	2:54	2-2	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	:01	0-0	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:06	2-0	+2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	1:18	6-0	+6
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	2:51	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Sims	3:28	3-7	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:20	0-5	-5
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	:05	0-2	-2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Wright, Sims	:56	1-3	-2
Total	40:00	49-67	-18

Individual players:

Manny Harris 18min -4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange		0/3	1/1
3-point		0/1

Aside from the elbow, Manny didn’t have a particularly good game. He complemented bad shooting with a bunch of turnovers as well.

Laval Lucas-Perry 20min -12
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange		0/1
3-point			1/1	0/3

LLP’s shooting is mostly frightening because he’s missing the really easy ones. That speaks to a mental hurdle. Hopefully Beilein will be able to take care of that with a long week of prectice.

Zack Novak DNP
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point

Suspended, yo.

DeShawn Sims 30min -6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/2	1/1		0/2
Midrange		0/2
3-point			2/4

As Michigan’s best offensive weapon for most of the day, Purdue was able to concentrate on him. Both 3-point makes came early in the game (Michigan’s first 6 points).

Kelvin Grady 17min -13
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane					0/1
Midrange
3-point			0/1

Didn’t look to shoot the ball, and got surprisingly little playing time. As the most consistent 3-point shooter on the team, he could have been used better once Harris went out.

Zack Gibson 11min -10
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point	1			3/3

His makes were notable (a thunderous dunk and the tip-in to give Michigan a halftime lead), but he was fairly quiet.

Stu Douglass 23min -7
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange		0/1
3-point		0/1	0/2	0/1

Shot the ball horribly, but he actually wa on a number of positive shifts.

CJ Lee 29min -9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange					1
3-point		0/1	0/1

When CJ Lee plays 3/4 of the game, your team is undermanned; he made the gritty walkon plays we’ve come to associate him with.

Jevohn Shepherd 18min -13
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		2/2	0/1		1/1
Midrange			0/1
3-point			0/1	1/1

He is so athletic, but his basketball skill is so limited. It’s a shame Beilein didn’t have another year with him, as Jevohn could have been made into a real player if he’d had a legitimiate coach for more than 2 years.

Anthony Wright 17min -15
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point		1/1	0/1	0/1

I’m actually surprised his differential was that close to zero. He was on the floor for pretty much the entire Purdue run early in the second half that toasted Michigan’s chances to win. He can’t shoot to save his life, either..

Eric Puls 3min +2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange			1/1	0/1
3-point			1/1

Dude can shoot the ball, but at 150 lbs soaking wet, he’s a major defensive liability. If only players could redshirt 2 years, he could add some bulk and become a good player down the road. He should contribute in future years if he can add weight.

What This Says…

Manny Harris and Zack Novak are both really important to this team (and maybe Novak will have his shooting stroke back after an extended practice period with no games to break it up). By the way, I’m disgusted in Purdue’s reputation as this awesome defensive team: if I could describe them in one word, it would be dirty. Chris Kramer is the best example of this, as he flops more than Anderson Varejao, and does more grabbing, bumping, getting through screens using the point of his elbow, etc., than any player I can recall (and it’s a shame the conference rewarded him for it by naming him the Defensive POY last year). Coming out in a mask because he had a little cut on his skin was particularly douchey. I’m now convinced that Purdue’s defensive reputation is built more upon getting away with a bunch of dirty stuff, rather than actually being good on defense (which they are as well, to be fair).

Manny Harris’s ejection was ridiculous, as the refs changed their original call after seeing Kramer was bleeding. By the way, they thought Kramer had broken his nose, which was a fair assumption based on the rolling on the floor he did. Alas, that was all part of his acting job, since the only blood came from a small cut on his nose. Harris didn’t even hit him hard enough to knock him down (watch the replay: he falls opposite of the direction he got hit, and about a half second later), and had Harris moisturized his elbows before the game, this would have been an innocuous offensive foul.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Raw data in .xls format here. Apologies for the delay in getting these UFRs published. With the next game not until Thursday, The Purdue edition is coming tomorrow.

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:29	4-8	-4
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:40	0-5	-5
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:06	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	2:24	0-4	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:30	5-0	+5
Grady, Lucas-Perry Lee, Harris, Sims	:32	0-1	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry Lee, Wright, Sims	2:46	4-5	-1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Wright, Gibson	2:08	3-3	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:43	0-4	-4
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	1:42	2-2	0
Total	20:00	18-32	-18

Half 2

2nd Half Differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:58	18-11	+7
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:25	2-4	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:03	6-3	+3
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:03	2-3	-1
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:33	5-8	-3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:17	3-0	+3
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	:16	0-3	-3
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	:40	0-2	-2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Douglass, Shepherd, Gibson	:45	0-0	0
Totals	20:00	36-36	0

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	10:14	25-19	+6
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Wright, Sims	2:46	4-5	-1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	2:24	0-4	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:30	5-0	+5
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	:40	0-2	-2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Douglass, Shepherd, Gibson	:45	0-0	0
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Wright, Gibson	2:08	3-3	0
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:25	2-4	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:43	6-8	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:06	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry Lee, Harris, Sims	:32	0-1	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry Lee, Wright, Sims	2:46	4-5	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:43	0-4	-4
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	1:42	2-2	0
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:03	2-3	-1
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:49	5-11	-6
Total	40:00	68-59	+9

Individual players:

Manny Harris 34min -16
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	2	1/2	1/3		1/3
Midrange		0/1			1
3-point		0/1	2/3

Manny didn’t shoot particularly poorly, and a few of his misses could have conceivably been called fouls. It was the turnovers that Manny really hurt the team with on this day.

Laval Lucas-Perry 20min 0
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane					1
Midrange				0/1
3-point	1		2/2	0/1

LLP shot better than I would have guessed from watching the game. It would probably be best for him to not start a few games to get his head right, and hopefully he’d be more effective off the bench.

Zack Novak 27min -8
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1				0/1
Midrange
3-point		0/1	2/4	0/3

Bad day shooting, though he did his standard job rebounding and making various hustle plays. Also, he got suspended for elbowing a dude in the face.

DeShawn Sims 30min -6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	2/3	1/3	1/1	1/2
Midrange			0/3
3-point			0/1

Really tough day for DeShawn. He started off pretty well, then faded down the stretch (as has become a pretty strong trend lately). He has to play the lion’s share of minutes, is often guarding (and being guarded by) bigger guys, and gets worse looks as his teammates decide to start jacking ill-advised threes.

Kelvin Grady 30min -11
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			1/1

Not a whole lot of shooting from Kelvin, which is too bad, because he’s certainly one of the best three-point shooters on the team, if not the best. He set his teammates up with a lot of decent looks still.

Zack Gibson 11min -10
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			0/1

When Sims struggles, the team really neeeds Gibson to step up and prove his worth. Ohio State does have much better big men (and more depth) than Michigan, but Zack’s perfomance was truly bad.

Stu Douglass 21min -15
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1
Midrange		0/1
3-point			0/2	0/1	0/1

Yikes. Maybe stepping in for LLP in a starting role isn’t what Douglass needs right now. He’s really been struggling lately as well.

CJ Lee 12min -6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			0/1

Standard CJ Lee.

Anthony Wright 7min -1
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point		0/1

When Anthony Wright is playing outside of garbage time (and more than a minute here and there), it’s probably not a good thing for the team’s success.

What This Says…

After the terror that was the opening few minutes of this game, Michigan’s players really settled down and played the Buckeyes evenly for the remainder of the game. Of course, playing even isn’t good enough when you start in an 18-point hole. The shooting was subpar, but Michigan would be able to get through this if it wasn’t for the horrendous turnovers they had. In the .xls sheet, look at all the times Michigan didn’t even have a shot attempt while Ohio State was scoring 6 or 8 points. That’s all due to turnovers. Of course, the Buckeyes helped Michigan a bit by turning it over a bunch themselves. The final score of this game is a little wider than the contest actually was, as Michigan had a technical and a flagrant foul late in the game, and were fouling the Buckeyes at the end to try to extend it.

A couple comments on how unbelievably stupid the BTN analyst was (these are drawn straight from the .xls):

• Michigan’s first 3-pointer in 10 shot attempts prompts the announcer to say “Michigan has been almost exclusively a perimeter team [this game].” At that point, 14 of Michigan’s 20 shot attempts (70%) had been from inside the arc.
• After Michigan gets an offensive rebound, “This will give Michigan a rare opportunity for some second-chance points.” At that point in the game, Michigan already had 8 offensive rebounds, and they ended up beating the Buckeyes in offensive rebounding by a wide margin of 13-4.

Of course, color analysts are often stupid, but BTN has some of the worst of the bunch (don’t even get me started on football). It seems that, especially with this Michigan team, they go into the game with the assumption that Michigan will only shoot threes, and won’t get any offensive boards, and they continue to hammer on those points, even as such trivial matters as “facts” go completely against what they’re saying.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:55	17-11	+6
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:05	0-0	0
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	1:29	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	2:33	7-3	+4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:50	4-4	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:05	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:16	2-0	+2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	1:44	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	1:03	3-0	+3
Total	20:00	33-24	-4

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:33	6-7	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:56	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:59	0-3	-3
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:42	2-3	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:41	3-2	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	:42	5-0	+5
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Wright, Gibson	1:20	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	2:00	9-5	+4
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:57	0-3	-3
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:03	0-0	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:05	5-5	0
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	:22	4-2	+2
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:46	1-3	-2
Total	20:00	35-35	0

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	12:17	27-25	+2
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:02	0-3	-3
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Shepherd, Gibson	1:29	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	2:33	7-3	+4
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:05	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:16	2-0	+2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	1:44	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Sims	1:03	3-0	+3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:56	0-0	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:47	7-8	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:41	3-2	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Wright, Gibson	:42	5-0	+5
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Wright, Gibson	1:20	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	2:00	9-5	+4
Douglass, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:03	0-0	0
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	:22	4-2	+2
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:46	1-3	-2
Total	40:00	68-59	+9

Individual players:

Manny Harris 33min +3
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	0/2	0/1	2/2
Midrange		0/1
3-point		0/1	0/1

Tough day shooting, but he did a lot of other stuff (including a game-high 12 rebounds).

Laval Lucas-Perry 16min 0
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1	1/1
Midrange
3-point		0/1	1/1	0/2

Less playing time than he’s been getting, and probably a reflection of how well he’s been shooting. Another long-ish break between games can hopefully get him back on track.

Zack Novak 31min +3
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane					0/1
Midrange
3-point			0/4	1/1

Tough day shooting, but so many gritty white guy rebounds.

DeShawn Sims 25min +4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	0/1		4/4	1/2
Midrange			0/1
3-point

Owned the beginning of the game, then seemed to fade.

Kelvin Grady 26min +5
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1
Midrange			0/1
3-point		0/1	3/6

Standard performance from Kelvin. I’d like to see him shoot fewer 30-footers.

Zack Gibson 15min +5
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1			2/3
Midrange		1/1		1/1
3-point				0/1

With Sims in foul trouble, he really carried his own weight.

Stu Douglass 23min +9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange
3-point			1/2	1/2

Decent day. Obviously, there’s room for improvement.

CJ Lee 11min +1
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point

Standard CJ Lee.

David Merritt 11min +9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			1/2

Standard Dave Merritt

Jevohn Shepherd 4min +2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			0/1

Got sparing playing time following a fairly strong perfomance against Penn State.

Anthony Wright 5min +4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			1/2

Anthony Wright made a shot. This is a noteworthy event.

What This Says…

The offense was working best when they weren’t shooting exclusively from the outside. I’m not going to sit here and say “throw it inside and see what happens” because I’m well aware that’s not Michigan’s offense. On top of that, Michigan doesn’t have a Shaq in the paint. DeShawn Sims is a good post player with a midrange game, but he is undersized at center. What I’d like to see is the team make more of the backdoor passes, and be a little more patient than they sometimes are in launching longbombs from three. Taking the opportunity to probe the inside every now and then will open things up for the whole offense.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Raw data for both UFRs can be found in last night’s post.

Ohio State:

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:22	4-9	-5
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:32	2-4	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:06	2-0	+2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	4:37	6-8	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:02	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:11	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	:48	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:20	2-4	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:04	7-2	+5
Total	20:00	25-29	-4

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	8:30(!)	15-11	+4
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:24	5-4	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	2:16	3-2	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:35	0-3	-3
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:44	3-7	-4
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:55	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:40	2-3	-1
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	:19	3-2	+1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	:35	0-1	-1
Total	20:00	37-40	-3

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	14:00	21-20	-1
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:32	2-4	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	2:16	3-2	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:35	0-3	-3
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:23	12-8	+4
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	4:37	6-8	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:59	5-11	-6
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:11	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	:48	2-0	+2
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	:19	3-2	+1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:20	2-4	-2
Total	60:00	58-65	-7

Individual players:

Manny Harris 37min -7
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	0/3	0/1	2/2
Midrange			1/1	1/1
3-point		0/2	2/3

Manny was up-and-down. Even when he makes it, I don’t like the hesitation three-ball.

Laval Lucas-Perry 26min +1
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange				0/1
3-point		0/2	0/1	0/1

Awful. This has been a trend of late.

Zack Novak 37min -10
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1
Midrange
3-point		0/2			1

Had a good day rebounding the ball. Not so much shooting.

DeShawn Sims 32min -4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1	1/4	2/3	1/2
Midrange			0/1	0/1
3-point				0/1

Bad day. He’d recover against PSU.

Kelvin Grady 27min -6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			1/1
Midrange
3-point		1/1	0/3

Poor effort from three, but did a lot of setting other guys up.

Zack Gibson 8min -2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1
Midrange
3-point

So bad.

Stu Douglass 21min -9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point		0/1	2/4	2/3

A pretty good day behind the arc.

CJ Lee 6min +2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			0/1	1/1

Let’s be honest: he’s in there for his defense.

David Merritt 6min -4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1
Midrange
3-point

Needs to make the few opportunities he’ll get.

What This Says…

Michigan was actually in this game for most of the way. There were a few dry spells toward the end that really did them in, and no personnel combo that Beilein tried could alter the momentum.

Penn State:

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:32	7-4	+3
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:33	2-7	-5
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	3:36	3-9	-6
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:01	0-0	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:24	0-0	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	3:52	4-2	+2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:17	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	1:57	4-3	+1
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	1:52	2-4	-2
Total	20:00	22-29	-7

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:08	2-8	-6
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:11	4-5	-1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:17	2-6	-4
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	:29	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	:22	0-0	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Sims	1:22	2-5	-3
Merritt, Douglass, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:36	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:05	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	2:37	7-7	0
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:29	3-10	-7
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:19	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:54	5-1	+4
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Puls, Gibson	1:09	5-0	+5
Total	20:00	36-44	-8

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	7:40	9-12	-3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	1:57	4-3	+1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	5:44	6-12	-6
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	4:05	3-11	-8
Grady, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Sims	1:52	2-4	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:17	2-6	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:01	0-0	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:24	0-0	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	3:52	4-2	+2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:17	0-0	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	:22	0-0	0
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Sims	1:22	2-5	-3
Merritt, Douglass, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:36	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Novak, Shepherd, Sims	:05	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Shepherd, Sims	2:37	7-7	0
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:29	3-10	-7
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:19	2-0	+2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Shepherd, Gibson	1:54	5-1	+4
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Wright, Puls, Gibson	1:09	5-0	+5
Total	60:00	58-73	-15

Individual players:

Manny Harris 26min -10
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	2	1/2	0/1	1/1	0/1
Midrange		0/2			2/2
3-point		0/3	0/1	0/1

I’d still like him to keep trying to draw contact; eventually they’ll have to call fouls.

Laval Lucas-Perry 25min +6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			1/1		0/1
Midrange				1/1
3-point			0/5	0/1

Really bad shooting day.

Zack Novak 28min -24
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1	0/2
Midrange
3-point			0/2	1/2

Did the little things well, but not so much on the shooting.

DeShawn Sims 29min -16
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		1/2	1/2	1/1	2/2
Midrange		1/1	3/5
3-point

The only god player for the whole team. He didn’t have enough to carry them by himself.

Kelvin Grady 23min -22
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			1/4	0/1

Got much less playing time than usual. He was struggling with his shot, but kept putting them up.

Zack Gibson 11min -1
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1	0/1
Midrange				0/1
3-point			1/1

Bad day. Needs to show off his whiteboy athleticism.

Stu Douglass 26min -15
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point		2/2	1/4	0/2

Mediocre shooting day.

CJ Lee 12min -11
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point				0/1

Poor performance in somewhat limited time.

David Merritt 7min +1
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				0/1
Midrange		0/1
3-point

Very little playing time.

Anthony Wright 3min +9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point				0/1

Garbage time only.

Jevohn Shepherd 9min +7
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			1/1		1/1
Midrange			0/1
3-point

Was one of the few guys who played more than just garbage time with a positive number. The team didn’t do too much scoring when he was in, but nor did the opponent. I’d like to see him on the court as a complement to high-scoring players.

Eric Puls 1min +5
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point

Garbage only.

What This Says…

DeShawn Sims was the only consistent player all day. The entire team struggled shooting, and they were putting up poor looks. I think that a long week of practice (this team hasn’t had more than a couple days off in quite some time) will help them get back on track. Is it too late, though?

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

Just the raw numbers for you tonight, actual UFR analysis to come tomorrow.

Ohio State

Penn State

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

The raw data is available in .xls format here. On individual player charts, the time played is now from the boxscore, rather than adding up to the second each player’s time played.

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	7:10	15-12	+3
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Lee, Sims	2:08	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	2:24	4-4	0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:43	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:00	5-3	+2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:31	7-7	0
Total	20:00	31-30	+1

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:46	3-2	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	4:01	3-7	-4
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:24	4-4	0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:52	0-3	-3
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:34	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	2:24	1-2	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:46	3-2	+1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:03	2-8	-6
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	:23	0-1	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:16	0-0	0
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	:40	3-2	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:51	0-1	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:08	1-0	+1
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:26	0-2	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	:26	0-0	0
Total	20:00	20-36	-16

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	16:20	28-24	+4
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Lee, Sims	2:08	0-2	-2
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:24	4-4	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:00	5-3	+2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:03	2-8	-6
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Novak, Gibson	2:24	4-4	0
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:35	0-5	-5
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Gibson	1:00	0-4	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Shepherd, Gibson	:26	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	4:01	3-7	-4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	2:24	1-2	-1
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:03	3-3	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Gibson	:08	1-0	+1
Total	60:00	51-66	-15

Individual players:
(First 6 minutes of game action not charted)

Manny Harris 34min -12
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1		1/1	1
Midrange	1	0/2			2**
3-point		1/2	1/2

Manny had what can only be described as the least shitty day of anyone on the team.

Laval Lucas-Perry 27min -2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane					1
Midrange		0/1	1/2		1
3-point		0/1	0/2

Had a poor day from beyond the arc, but did some other things that worked.

Zack Novak 33min -9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange
3-point			1/2

Had a good day rebounding the ball.

DeShawn Sims 31min -9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	0/1	0/2		1
Midrange		0/1	0/2
3-point			0/2	0/1

Awful, awful day. All of the shots he made were in the first 6 minutes.

Kelvin Grady 30min -4
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1
Midrange			1/1
3-point		0/1	0/3

Poor effort from three, but did a lot of setting other guys up.

Zack Gibson 9min -6
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange		1/2	0/1
3-point

Showed that he is almost entirely ineffective when the other team has some good bigs to go against.

Stu Douglass 12min -13
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange		0/1
3-point		0/1	0/1	1/2

Blerg.

CJ Lee 14min -8
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1
Midrange
3-point				0/1

Bad day shooting, but did the standard CJ Lee other things to be a steady presence.

David Merritt 10min -11
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				0/1
Midrange		0/1
3-point

Mediocre to bad day.

What This Says…

DeShawn Sims struggled against a lineup with actual size. When he struggles, Michigan has major trouble getting anything going offensively for any consistent period of time. Kelvin Grady and Laval Lucas-Perry had by far the best performances in terms of differential.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

The raw data is available in .xls format here. On individual player charts, the time played is now from the boxscore, rather than adding up to the second each player’s time played.

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	8:03	12-4	+8
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:19	7-8	-1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	1:36	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims	:25	1-0	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	3:34	5-0	+5
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:03	7-2	+5
Total	20:00	32-16	+16

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:10	9-8	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:32	3-3	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:18	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:52	4-0	+4
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:12	0-0	0
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	1:40	4-0	+4
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:26	4-2	+2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:36	5-4	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:45	0-4	-4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	1:31	0-5	-5
Grady, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	1:11	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	:47	3-3	0
Total	20:00	32-33	-1

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	16:08	32-14	+18
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	3:36	5-4	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Sims	3:34	5-0	+5
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:19	7-8	-1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	3:17	3-7	-4
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	1:40	4-0	+4
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	1:36	0-2	-2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	1:31	0-5	-5
Merritt, Douglass, Lee, Harris, Sims	1:26	4-2	+2
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:18	0-2	-2
Grady, Lee, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	1:11	0-2	-2
Grady, Douglass, Wright, Shepherd, Puls	:47	3-3	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims	:25	1-0	+1
Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:12	0-0	0
Total	60:00	64-49	+15

Individual players:

Manny Harris 32min +14
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1	0/1	3/4	3*
Midrange			0/1
3-point		0/1	2/3

He got an and-1 on one of those fouls in the lane. Manny did what he needs to do for the team, though his hesitation in putting up 3s has really started to annoy me.

Laval Lucas-Perry 29min +17
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1	1
Midrange			0/2
3-point			1/2

Showed some flashes of being able to get to the hoop and draw contact. That will be important down the stretch.

Zack Novak 33min +9
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange				0/1
3-point		0/1	0/1	1/2

Didn’t shoot the ball much, but he made some defensive plays (along the lines of CJ Lee), and did a good job rebounding, considering he’s 6-5 and playing power forward.

DeShawn Sims 27min +31(!)
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/2	1/2	4/4	1*
Midrange		0/1	1/3	1/1
3-point	1		0/1

It seemed ike he took (and made) a ton more midrange shots than he actually apparently did. Pretty good day, though he didn’t pull in double-digit boards.

Kelvin Grady 28min +11
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			1/1
Midrange				0/1
3-point		0/1	1/1	1/2

Did what he needs to do. Actually nailed a layup.

Zack Gibson 11min -13(!)
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/2		1/1
Midrange		0/1
3-point			0/1

Struggled mightily If this is how he plays with almost no post presence on the other team, how will he compete against Goran Suton? BJ Mullens?

Eric Puls 2min -2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			1/1

WOOO PULS!

Stu Douglass 12min -2
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange
3-point			0/1	0/1

Didn’t nail his 3-balls, and his only make was an easy layup on a good cut.

CJ Lee 11 min +5
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		1/1
Midrange
3-point			0/1	0/1

Scrappy, former walk-on, etc. Did a lot more than shoot.

What This Says…

Douglass and Gibson are the only guys who played actual minutes (i.e. not garbage time) who logged negative differentials. I think this surprises nobody. Gibson really struggled today, and Douglass is the lesser of the two freshmen.

This team has so much more success when they don’t take all their shots from three. DeShawn Sims is a major weapon from midrange, and both Manny (obviously) and LLP are able to get to the hoop and draw contact, if not just get their score on. CJ Lee was the team’s MVP, though, despite an unspectacular differential. He made hustle plays left and right, most of which won’t show up in the boxscore.

The story of the day was not the offense (rendering this little exercise at least partially moot), but the stellar defense that the team played. The 1-3-1 forced myriad turnovers, and the team was able to get a few in man as well. They were really playing tenaciously, and I think when they have some success on the offensive side of the court, it inspires them to play better defense (in addition to allowing them to play more 1-3-1).

Posted under Analysis, Basketball

In my infinite hubris, I thought “ain’t no way this game is going to overtime,” and only set the DVR for 2 hours. The shot charting, therefore, only includes regulation. The differentials do include overtime, however. The raw data is available in .xls format here. Newly added: shot clock info for each shot.

NOTE: The total differentials don’t quite add up correctly. If you want to go through and check all my work, please feel free (I’m coming up with Michigan as having 3 points to many, and Indiana having 3 points too few).

Half 1

1st half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:50	8-17	-9
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	1:59	0-4	-4
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:37	0-2	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:14	1-0	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims	:10	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims	:22	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	1:46	2-2	0
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:04	3-4	-1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:56	4-3	+1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:17	7-4	+3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:45	0-0	0
Total	20:00	22-39	-17

Half 2

2nd half differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	6:29	13-9	+4
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:29	6-5	+1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:28	0-0	0
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:36	5-2	+3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	4:21	5-2	+3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:15	2-0	+2
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:15	6-2	+4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	:07	0-0	0
Total	20:00	37-20	+17

Overtime

Overtime differential
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	4:19	8-4	+4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:01	2-0	+2
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	:07	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:05	1-0	+1
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Douglass	:14	0-3	-3
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:07	2-0	+2
Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Novak, Wright	:07	0-0	0
Total	5:00	13-7	+6

Game totals

Lineup Totals
Lineup	Time on Floor	Score	Differential
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	18:00	31-30	+1
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:06	2-4	-2
Merritt, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:37	0-2	-2
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims	1:14	1-0	+1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims	2:24	4-3	+1
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	2:17	7-4	+3
Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	2:36	5-2	+3
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims	:10	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims	:22	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims	6:07	7-4	+3
Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Sims	5:33	9-9	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Gibson	:51	3-0	+3
Grady, Lee, Harris, Novak, Sims	1:15	6-2	+4
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Gibson	:07	0-0	0
Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Douglass	:14	0-3	-3
Lucas-Perry, Lee, Harris, Novak, Wright	:07	0-0	0
Total	60:00	72-66	+6

Individual players:

Manny Harris
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane	1	1/1		1/1	1
Midrange		0/1
3-point		0/4	2/4

Way too many inadvisable shots (especially from three) early in the shot clock. Manny wasn’t making a huge effort to slice into the lane.

Laval Lucas-Perry
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		0/1		2/2	1
Midrange
3-point			0/3	2/4

LLP was inconsistent from 3, and took nary a midrange jumper.

Zack Novak
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point		2/5		0/2

It seemed like Novak was doing a hell of a lot more than it looks like he did just by checking his shot chart. He made a ton of hustle plays (including getting a key deflection leading to a steal and fast-break bucket late in regulation, in addition to a whiteboy block) that really helped Michigan win.

DeShawn Sims
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane		2/3	0/1
Midrange			5/7
3-point			0/3

DeShawn was money from midrange in the second half, when the team really needed something from inside to steady them.

Kelvin Grady
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1		1
Midrange
3-point			0/1	1/3

Grady got much more time than he did in the previous game, and though he took a couple ill-advised shots, he was a catalyst for the rest of the offense (4 assists, 2 more assist opportunities missed). He also made the lane shot on which he was fouled.

Zack Gibson
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane				1/1
Midrange
3-point			0/1

Zack was pretty quiet, especially considering Indiana’s defense was locking down on the three-pointers. you’d think he would get some more looks inside.

David Merritt
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane
Midrange
3-point			0/1

Quiet day for Merritt. More on how I think he should be used is below.

Stu Douglass
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1		1
Midrange
3-point			0/1	1/3

Stu had a crappy day, but he did nail one big shot. I still think he’s the far inferior of the freshmen.

CJ Lee
Location	0	1	2	3	F
Lane			0/1		1
Midrange
3-point			0/1	1/3

The timing of Lee’s shots means more than the shots themselves. He also came up with key defensive plays (including a steal with 40 seconds in regulation and Indiana up 3) and rebounds.

What This Says…

I re-watched the game (the first half, particularly) with a keen eye on how Indiana shot the lights out. In all honesty, I can’t figure it out. Offensive rebounding has something to do with it, and maybe momentum plays a role (though some might question that, I think in college basketball momentum is at least something of a factor). Maybe Michigan, frustrated on the offensive end, was letting their effort on the other end of the court suffer. However, looking at the actual shots themselves, rather than just the final number, there was no explanation for Devan Dumes and this Roth fella in particular having the first half that he did. He would airball a wide open three (which may something negative about Michigan’s defensive effort overall, but doesn’t explain the final stats), and then turn right around and nail one from 5 feet behind the line with Novak right in his face. It appears to me that the hot shooting (in this game, at least; I didn’t UFR the Savannah State or Eastern Michigan games) may be, in large part (or at least SOME part) a ridiculously unlikely statistical anomaly.

Even if you concede the defense was bad, which it may have been at some times, though not all, it was the offense that would have done the Wolverines in. If you allow the other team to score, the offensive output for your own team can’t absolutely sputter. That is what leads to huge runs like Indiana so frequently had in this game. Michigan can play poorly on one end of the court, but this team certainly isn’t good enough to struggle offensively AND defensively if they want to win games. To Indiana’s credit, they were at least playing very well on defense, and deserve some credit for Michigan’s players feeling they had to force things.

That said, I really like Kelvin Grady as a player. However, I think I’d prefer to see Merritt get the start over him, if only to be a calming force should a shellacking at the hands of the worst team in the conference just so happen to break out. Grady is a better player, Merritt is a better leader. Bringing Grady off the bench also can help spark the team with another offensive option (certainly in terms of drawing the defense and dishing it out). I prefer Merritt preventing damage with his leadership in the first place, rather than coming in as damage control later, when the momentum is out of reach. It just seems like those two roles should be reversed, no?

Gibson’s travel midway through the first half was a terrible call. His left foot is anchored, he pivots, pivots again, and suddenly a travel is called. This sounds like a ridiculously small refereeing point to get worked up over, but it happened to occur right at the moment Indiana really started taking off with all their momentum.

My apologies if you happened to see the draft of this that I accidentally published earlier today. It should be done now, sans the issue with the differentials.

Posted under Analysis, Basketball